2015年11月19日星期四

Betting on Formula One

People might do not know that Formula One as a kind of sports until they log in to online sports betting Malaysia. The growth in popularity of Formula One has seen a huge increase in Malaysia and also betting on the sport in recent years. The strategies of betting F1, firstly, don't over-bet the driver on pole. The driver who qualifies fastest certainly enjoys a significant advantage in the race itself. For all the discussion in recent years about greater car parity and increased opportunities for over-taking, the driver in pole position still goes on to win just under half of all grand prix races. This is incredibly useful information to have to hand when assessing where the value lies in a grand prix winner market, as the driver on pole will frequently trade at odds much shorter than the 2.0 that the statistics suggest they should. This is especially the case with high-profile drivers who having qualified fastest, will often trade significantly below even money, as if, by starting first on the grid, they have all-but won the race. For those anyone who has watched F1 for any length of time will know that the overwhelming reason why pole-sitters don't have a better record of race wins is because misfortune can strike any driver. At a very minimum, you need to know the layout of the track. This will allow you to judge, instantaneously, where a collision has occurred, which will help you assess the likely impact it will have on the race. Knowing where the pits are, and where the safety-car line is, will also help you to react to in-play developments. However, as with so much in sports betting, what seems most logical is not always borne out by the statistics. In fact, in recent years, the winner of overall qualification only stands a 26% chance of going on to drive the fastest lap in the race. So unless that driver is being offered at significantly bigger odds than 4.0 in the fastest lap market, then they do not represent value. With further thought, there are two strategies should considering in the fastest lap market. The first is to back the team-mate of the driver on pole. If the team in question have been able to produce a car sufficiently suited to track conditions that one of their drivers could set the fastest lap in qualifying, then it follows that their other driver, presumably pursuing a more aggressive race strategy, will stand a strong chance of setting the fastest lap in the race. The second is to identify a high-profile driver, who has been placing well in recent grand prix, but who finds themselves down the field. This might be a result of a mistake in qualifying, in which case you could choose to back them before the race; or it may be because of a mechanical error, accident, or pit-lane mishap during the race, in which case they can be supported in the fastest-lap market in-play. As the conclusion, it's a far more prudent strategy to keep stakes small in the first few races, building up knowledge about which new-season cars are most likely to perform on the different types of circuits they will race. This will pay dividends later in the season, when you can increase your stakes with more confidence.



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